Predictive Policing: What Can We Learn from Wal-Mart and Amazon about Fighting Crime in a Recession?
In the current economic climate, police departments are being asked to do more with less. In some localities, significant budget reductions are requiring police managers and command staff to consider reductions in the retention of sworn personnel.
Personnel costs represent the single largest budget line item in most public safety organizations. The ability to use this resource more efficiently has become absolutely essential to police managers under current budgetary restrictions.
Now, new tools designed to increase the effective use of police resources could make every agency more efficient, regardless of the availability of resources. As these new budgetary restraints and limitations are faced, the question to ask with more urgency is “Why just count crime when you can anticipate, prevent, and respond more effectively?”
Predictive policing allows command staff and police managers to leverage advanced analytics in support of meaningful, information-based tactics, strategy, and policy decisions in the applied public safety environment. As the law enforcement community increasingly…
To read more – Police Chief Magazine – View Article.
Chicago is Adopting The “Broken Windows” Strategy
Editor’s NOTE: In a city with a high propensity for violent crime, do you think fixing windows and erasing graffiti is the solution? Is The broken windows theory a crime fighting strategy or a quality of life improvement plan? Either way, something’s got to give.
May 5, 2013 in Crime, Crime Prevention, Featured, Posts by Jean Reynolds
In January, Chicago’s Mayor Rahm Emanuel and Police Superintendent Garry McCarthy announced that 200 police officers were going to be reassigned to patrol work. Two weeks later, McCarthy had more news for Chicago residents:
Focusing on the little things
He is proposing an ordinance to authorize arrests for unpaid tickets for public urination, public consumption of alcohol, and gambling—“the three top complaints,” he said, from Chicago residents.
“Fixing the little things prevents the bigger things,” said McCarthy, a longtime advocate of the “broken windows” approach to fighting crime. “Broken windows” is the brainchild of social scientists James Q. Wilson and George L. Kelling.
The theory behind it
They claimed that unrepaired windows, litter, and other signs of neighborhood decay constitute an announcement that a neighborhood has stopped taking responsibility for the quality of life in its public spaces. The next step is for responsible citizens to start moving out—and for lawbreakers to move in.
To learn more about it
To Read More about Chicago’s paradigm policing shift; Chicago is Adopting The “Broken Windows” Strategy | Law Enforcement Today.
Police Foundation President Jim Bueermann approved the appointment for City of Thibodaux Chief of Police, Dr. Scott Silverii as an Executive Fellow and member of its Research Advisory Committee.
The Police Foundation also sponsors the Cambridge Police Executive Program
Executive Fellowship Program
Executive Fellows at the Police Foundation are current or retired executive-level members of criminal justice organizations whose knowledge, experience and skills help advance the Foundation’s mission. They serve as members of the President’s Practitioner Advisory Board to help ensure the Foundation is grounded in a comprehensive understanding the practical needs of law enforcement organizations.
In addition, executive fellows serve as the Foundation’s regional representatives in national and international settings. Executive Fellows work on specific projects, represent the Foundation in meetings and conferences, and develop substantive thought pieces about the pressing issues facing policing. They serve for terms determined by the Foundation’s president.
- Leadership: Trust Me (scottsilverii.com)
- Police Leadership: What’s on your mind, Chief? (scottsilverii.com)
- Cops; Old Bulls & Young Bulls (scottsilverii.com)
- Breaking Up Is Hard To Do (scottsilverii.com)
I helped NHTSA pilot the Data Driven Approaches to Crime and Traffic Safety (DDACTS). This evolution is interesting and anything reducing social harms is critical to our communities.
Tacoma Police, using a federal grant for funding, have launched PredPol, the predictive policing program. Here is a story from Q13 TV in Tacoma.
“Tacoma police soon will be using new, sophisticated software to try to predict and prevent five specific crimes — everything from burglaries to motor theft.
It’s called PREDPOL, short for predictive policing.
Assistant Police Chief Pete Cribbin said the software promises to predict with high probability where the next crime will occur.
“The beauty of this is it really brings it down, really tight, to a 500-square-foot box so it is very clear where you have to be to try to disrupt the activity,” he said.
It’s a complex mathematical formula (a similar algorithm is used to predict the geographical patterns of an earthquake) that assigns a probability that a future event will occur based on past events.
Five years of crime statistics have been stored and once the program begins, it will be updated every three hours with real-time data.
So how is PREDPOL different from hot-spot policing?
Cops say a location is a hot spot when there is a pattern of crime in one area but it’s still one step behind the criminals. This software is a leap into the future.
“Criminals set patterns they don’t think they do, but all human beings set patterns,” Cribbin said.
It also breaks down factors of a neighborhood on why one is more appealing to crooks than others.
“L.A. was using this in one of their divisions for burglaries and they saw a 14 percent decrease in their burglaries,” he said.
The program was paid for by a federal grant and Tacoma police hope to have it going in about two weeks.”
The story can be found here
What do you think? Science or Science Fiction